Friday, January 20, 2012

Questions About Nfl Betting Spreads

Joseph asks…

When do Quarter Spreads come out for NFL games?

How early can i bet on Quarter Spreads for NFL games, I know spreads for the game come early in the week like tuesday, im pretty sure quarter spreads come out the day of the game, but what time exactly?

admin answers:

LIVE BETS such as Quarter bets come out an hour before the game starts...

Sandra asks…

is there a tax on bets placed on NFL games at casinos in illinois?

i am 20 and i plan on making some easy cash betting on spreads of nfl games , nba, and college sports. i turn 21 in two months and i'm gonnea get my march madness on. GOING to Joliet Casino.

admin answers:

You can only make a sports bet in Nevada
and yes if you win a certain amount you will be taxed

Daniel asks…

Can someone please explain to me how 'Match spread' betting works when betting on NFL?

I think i have an idea that a team has to win by a certain number of points, but I'm not really sure.
It would be good if someone could explain this example for me aswell :)

10/11 Tennessee Titans @ Atlanta Falcons (-6.0) 10/11

admin answers:

10/11 is the odds = -110 or 1.91

-6 is the point spread. In your example the Falcons are -6 which makes the Titans +6. The team with the "-" is the favorite. So the Falcons are a 6 point favorite. If you bet on the Falcons they must win by more than 6 for you to win your bet. If you bet the Titans they have to lose by less than 6 (or win the game outright) for you to win your bet. If the Falcons win by exactly 6 it is a push and your bet is refunded.

Free NFL Picke Here: http://proline-sucks.com/freepicks/

Thomas asks…

what nfl game (with spreads) to bet on in week 1?

admin answers:

Gotta half-disagree with you on this one pdq. The spreads for week 1 are already out, and when you bet on a game, you're locked in on whatever the spread is at the time you placed the bet. You don't make a bet and then suddenly get screwed because of a line movement. As for things like injuries, mathematically it shouldn't matter because there's an equal chance of the opposing team getting injuries, so in the long run you'll get helped as often as you'll get screwed.

So if you wanted to bet on a favorite or an over, now is probably the best time because the public will most often push the spreads and totals higher. However, I've read that it's especially unwise to pick favorites in the first few weeks of the season (though I'm not sure why). If you're gonna bet the underdog, you should wait until the last minute so that the public pushes the spread as high as possible.

I haven't handicapped week 1 yet. But I'm new to handicapping anyway so I doubt my lines will be reliable.

I do have 2 uneducated hunches so far. The Eagles line opened at PK, when it's obvious the public is gonna bet on the Packers (and so far 74% of the action is on the Packers). PK wasn't necessary; the books could have opened it at Packers -2 or -3 and the early action still would have been on the Packers, and it would have evened out later after line movement. So to me it seems the bookies want lopsided action on the Packers, which means the Eagles will probably win.

My second hunch is the Texans. The line opened at Colts -3, 71% of the action so far is on the Colts, and yet the line moved *down* to 2.5 and less (it moved down even before the preseason started). That should raise a red flag if you were looking to bet the Colts, and it makes me look to bet the Texans.

Of course when actually making a bet, you should have rational explanations to support it, not just hunches alone.

*Edit*
Another that comes to mind: Chiefs. Wait til the spread reaches +6 or more.

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